Functional-Freelance
0xfbd2aa1914f1151718870b5fde6091d3122174f2
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Dec 27-Jan 3?
1150 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.15
- YES
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Jan 3-Jan 10?
1140 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.14
- YES
Will Christian McCaffrey win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?
1020 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 7% or more?
350 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.35
- YES
Will Republicans have between 225 and 229 seats in House after election?
320 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.32
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 2.25% or more?
300 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
Will AUR win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?
300 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2024$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
Will Kamala Harris get less than 68m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?
260 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.26
- YES
Will Ding Liren win Game 9 of the World Chess Championship?
250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.25
- YES
Will Ding Liren win Game 7 of the World Chess Championship?
250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2024$0.00
$-0.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 325-349 times Jan 3-Jan 10?$1.14Jan 7, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 375-399 times Dec 27-Jan 3?$1.15Jan 3, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Christian McCaffrey win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$1.02Dec 30, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cowboys win Super Bowl 2025?$0.21Dec 14, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 14 of the World Chess Championship?$0.24Dec 12, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 325-349 times Dec 6-13?$0.14Dec 12, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. win 4-5% of the popular vote?$0.23Dec 9, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $4,000.00 in December?$0.20Dec 6, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris get less than 68m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?$0.26Dec 6, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ding Liren win Game 9 of the World Chess Championship?$0.25Dec 5, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 525-549 times Nov 29-Dec 6?$0.25Dec 4, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 2.25% or more?$0.30Dec 3, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AUR win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?$0.30Dec 3, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coldplay be the Billboard #1 pop star of the century?$0.10Dec 3, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mariah Carey be the Billboard #1 pop star of the century?$0.10Dec 3, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ding Liren win Game 7 of the World Chess Championship?$0.25Dec 3, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republicans have between 225 and 229 seats in House after election?$0.32Dec 3, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 7% or more?$0.35Dec 3, 15:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $0.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 15:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 7, 14:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.