Loose-Reef
0xfbd3aebd22a89973159b0f4d237fe6a164146e70
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.6K
Realised
$-448.38
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
7693 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
6300 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-42.39
- NO
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
4857 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-313.98
- YES
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
3100 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-805.18
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
2366 shares @ 16.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
2250 shares @ 32.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-727.99
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?
2116 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-48.66
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?
1729 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-37.19
- NO
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
1622 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
1600 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-320.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$190.00May 23, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$37.27May 23, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$17.71May 23, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$28.50May 23, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$0.03May 23, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$0.03May 23, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$11.40May 23, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$11.97May 23, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$7.08May 23, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$320.00May 22, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$300.00May 21, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$200.00May 21, 23:48 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$683.14May 21, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$93.38May 21, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$253.14May 21, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$70.51May 21, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$482.63May 21, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$115.31May 21, 17:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$27.73May 21, 17:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$90.90May 21, 17:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $156.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 14:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 08:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".