0xfbd4e4f4874838a1265cba193418873522cd9f43
0xfbd4e4f4874838a1265cba193418873522cd9f43
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$69.84
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-5.37
Win rate
94%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 1°C or below on January 18?
5 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$5.00
$0.06
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on January 17?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$5.00
$0.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -4°C on January 16?
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$5.00
$0.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 48-49°F on January 17?
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$5.00
$0.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 36°C on January 17?
5 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$5.00
$0.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on January 17?
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$5.00
$0.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 44°F or higher on January 17?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$5.00
$0.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 49°F or below on January 16?
5 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$5.00
$0.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on January 17?
5 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$5.00
$0.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 47°F or below on January 18?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$5.00
$0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$65.93Apr 1, 12:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$66.00Apr 1, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$65.93Apr 1, 12:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$66.00Apr 1, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$65.93Apr 1, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$66.00Apr 1, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$65.93Apr 1, 01:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$66.00Mar 31, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$65.93Mar 31, 22:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$65.93Mar 31, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$65.93Mar 31, 21:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$65.93Mar 31, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$65.54Mar 31, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$0.01Mar 31, 18:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$65.91Mar 31, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$65.87Mar 31, 18:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$66.00Mar 31, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$65.93Mar 31, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$65.93Mar 31, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$65.93Mar 31, 17:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $55.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 17:20 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 12:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".