Granular-Formamide
0xfbe15f85fa046f325faa97ea2cb5d05ba9e67e45
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$4.08
Total PnL
$-29.6K
Realised
$-525.10
Win rate
11%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
263 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.08
$-0.92
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
3619 shares @ 52.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.9K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
1594 shares @ 31.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-495.52
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 7PM ET
1357 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
1341 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
1335 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-238.74
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
1181 shares @ 25.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-298.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
1181 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-590.63
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
1035 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
1000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$391.60Feb 28, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$391.60Feb 28, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$422.82Feb 28, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$1.5KFeb 28, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$200.00Feb 28, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$200.00Feb 28, 15:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$709.29Feb 28, 15:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$0.00Feb 28, 15:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$406.26Feb 28, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$100.00Feb 28, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$200.00Feb 28, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$200.00Feb 28, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$200.00Feb 28, 14:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$48.87Feb 28, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$200.00Feb 28, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$200.00Feb 28, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$50.00Feb 28, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$100.00Feb 28, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$50.00Feb 28, 13:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $175.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 21:00 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".