Caring-Papaya
0xfbe92b0b63aa7db3881c0a66bad97db2973055e0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-64.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on February 5?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C or below on February 11?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 58°F or higher on February 5?
714 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 9?
417 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
67 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?
60 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-24.09
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
13 shares @ 37.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
12 shares @ 83.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-9.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?$24.09Mar 10, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?$24.10Mar 5, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?$47.87Mar 3, 13:51 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$47.86Mar 1, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$45.52Feb 28, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?$44.78Feb 28, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?$30.00Feb 18, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be -5°C on February 8?$0.00Feb 11, 05:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$8.91Feb 10, 14:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$9.00Feb 10, 13:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$3.48Feb 10, 12:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 58°F or higher on February 5?$0.00Feb 10, 10:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$3.50Feb 10, 10:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$5.11Feb 10, 10:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$4.88Feb 10, 10:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$6.11Feb 10, 10:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$5.23Feb 9, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$0.01Feb 9, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$4.71Feb 9, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$5.00Feb 9, 20:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $8.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 9, 15:32 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 10, 12:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".