Careful-Rowboat
0xfbeb036448f47c45fb45d9dff674096dc8ac593d
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$3.79
Total PnL
$-16.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?
2 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$2.44
$0.44
- NO
Will Kamala win 60% of college graduates?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$1.35
$0.35
- YES
Will Erling Haaland win the Ballon d’Or?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Jude Bellingham win the Ballon d’Or?
222 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2024$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?
39 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2024$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
5 shares @ 39.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Kamala do better than Biden with unmarried women?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?$3.00Oct 28, 21:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ricardo Nunes win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?$6.42Oct 28, 21:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sebastião Melo win the 2024 Porto Alegre mayoral election?$1.00Oct 28, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ricardo Nunes win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?$5.32Oct 18, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?$2.00Oct 18, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jude Bellingham win the Ballon d’Or?$3.00Oct 18, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUY Will Erling Haaland win the Ballon d’Or?$5.00Oct 18, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jude Bellingham win the Ballon d’Or?$1.00Oct 18, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ricardo Nunes win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?$1.00Oct 18, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sebastião Melo win the 2024 Porto Alegre mayoral election?$1.00Oct 18, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala do better than Biden with unmarried women? $1.00Oct 18, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala win 60% of college graduates?$1.00Oct 18, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?$1.00Oct 18, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?$1.00Oct 18, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$2.00Oct 18, 12:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $2.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 18, 12:29 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 28, 21:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".