0xfbefb32e15a023ff7a5e5883625e5ed22006f6be
0xfbefb32e15a023ff7a5e5883625e5ed22006f6be
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$16.48
Total PnL
$-7.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will $ENS (Ethereum Name Service) be above $50 on November 25?
11 shares @ 37.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2021$10.53
$6.57
- YES
Will 'Ghostbusters: Afterlife' get 86% or higher Audience Score on Rotten Tomatoes?
5 shares @ 91.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2021$5.49
$0.49
- YES
Will Ethereum switch to Proof-of-Stake (EIP-3675) by February 22, 2022?
11 shares @ 9.4¢·now 4.4¢·exp Feb 22, 2022$0.46
$-0.54
- YES
Will ConstitutionDAO win the Sotheby’s auction for the United States Constitution?
262 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2021$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will it be possible to buy a Tesla online in the US using Bitcoin before 2022?
71 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2022$0.00
$-5.79
- YES
Will Tim Tebow score a touchdown in the upcoming NFL season?
32 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2022$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will J.Lo and Ben Affleck get engaged by Thanksgiving?
15 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2021$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will a picture surface of Kim Kardashian and Pete Davidson kissing before November 30th, 2021?
7 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2021$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will OpenSea launch a token by the end of 2021?
4 shares @ 24.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2021$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will a replacement for Jerome Powell as the Fed's chairman be announced by Noon ET, November 29, 2021?
3 shares @ 34.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2021$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.