Definitive-Swimming
0xfbf6117bc29d9744076f3691047e749b7bc192a9
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$283.40
Total PnL
$-372.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?
200 shares @ 68.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$186.00
$50.00
- NO
Reya FDV above $400M one day after launch?
100 shares @ 90.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$97.40
$7.40
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
3359 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-143.35
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
1429 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 18?
833 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
810 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-37.38
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on December 14?
651 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 6?
357 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 14?
335 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?
295 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYReya FDV above $400M one day after launch?$90.00Feb 3, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYReya FDV above $300M one day after launch?$67.00Feb 2, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYReya FDV above $300M one day after launch?$69.00Feb 2, 20:56 UTC
- REDEEMInfinex FDV above $300M one day after launch?$131.58Feb 1, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMInfinex FDV above $400M one day after launch?$336.24Feb 1, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYInfinex FDV above $400M one day after launch?$300.00Jan 29, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYInfinex FDV above $300M one day after launch?$100.00Jan 29, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$20.00Jan 22, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$7.20Jan 18, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 18?$5.00Jan 18, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 18?$5.00Jan 18, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$7.60Jan 17, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$8.80Jan 15, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$29.40Jan 15, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$3.24Jan 15, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.73Jan 15, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$4.64Jan 15, 13:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 15, 00:47 UTC
- TRADESELLZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$22.23Jan 14, 13:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?$121.31Jan 14, 09:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $177.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 14, 14:16 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 3, 17:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".