Questionable-Astrakhan
0xfbfdff5307fd34f6aa9e0a4329a2b7087e3b3d44
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$23.46
Total PnL
$-2.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will India invade Pakistan before July?
12 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$12.20
$2.20
- NO
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
4 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.08
$2.08
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
4 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$3.85
$0.85
- NO
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?
2 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.33
$0.49
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
18 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
China x India military clash by December 31?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?
7 shares @ 30.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in 2025?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Canada lower tariffs on the U.S. before June?$0.00Jun 1, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMIndia-Pakistan declare war before June?$1.19Jun 1, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before June?$4.11Jun 1, 13:38 UTC
- REDEEMTrump renames Persian Gulf to "Arabian Gulf" in May?$21.45Jun 1, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada lower tariffs on the U.S. before June?$9.00May 31, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in 2025?$1.00May 15, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x India military clash by December 31?$1.00May 15, 02:39 UTC
- REDEEMIndia x Pakistan ceasefire announced before June?$0.00May 12, 13:16 UTC
- REDEEMIndia x Pakistan ceasefire announced before June?$9.52May 12, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndia-Pakistan declare war before June?$1.00May 10, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndia x Pakistan ceasefire announced before June?$2.00May 10, 06:37 UTC
- REDEEMPakistan military strike on India by Friday?$0.00May 10, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?$2.00May 9, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport less than 250,000?$2.00May 9, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before June?$3.00May 9, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$3.00May 9, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$3.00May 9, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before July?$1.00May 9, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?$1.00May 9, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?$1.84May 9, 16:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $2.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 16:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 13:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.