Sick-Approval-Newsletter
0xfc007e15e0da73525fd0d8e8e425df14a0820be0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.1K
Realised
$0.38
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- YIELD$2.04Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$13.86Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$29.3KJul 10, 05:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$46.9KJul 10, 05:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$45.0KJul 10, 01:11 UTC
- YIELD$10.69Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.04Jul 9, 21:17 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$7.86Jul 9, 00:46 UTC
- YIELD$10.96Jul 9, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?$2.6KJul 8, 04:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$32.0KJul 8, 02:03 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$25.82Jul 8, 00:46 UTC
- YIELD$23.45Jul 8, 00:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$10.0KJul 7, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMArgentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$17.3KJul 7, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$5.7KJul 7, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$160.77Jul 7, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$819.29Jul 7, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$24.98Jul 7, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$50.00Jul 7, 18:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 3 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
limited
3 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?
$6.9K · 34% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $2.5K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 18:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.