Sick-Approval-Newsletter
0xfc007e15e0da73525fd0d8e8e425df14a0820be0
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$296.4K
Total PnL
$381.71
Realised
$64.74
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
170466 shares @ 98.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$167.1K
$-176.60
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
61938 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 29, 2026$61.7K
$342.76
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
13535 shares @ 93.4¢·now 93.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.7K
$21.06
- NO
Trump out as President by June 30?
11359 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.3K
$0.62
- NO
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?
11100 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$11.0K
$-19.75
- NO
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.9K
$5.00
- NO
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7500 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.5K
$3.75
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
5140 shares @ 82.2¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.3K
$67.43
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by June 13?
3515 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$3.5K
$11.66
- NO
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?
3266 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.2K
$21.85
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpread: Qatar (-1.5)$4.5KJun 13, 21:36 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Qatar (-2.5)$2.0KJun 13, 21:36 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Qatar (-3.5)$1.6KJun 13, 21:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 13?$6.8KJun 13, 18:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13?$11.8KJun 13, 18:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13?$2.45Jun 13, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$85.18Jun 13, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$16.85Jun 13, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$7.47Jun 13, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$68.33Jun 13, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$5.13Jun 13, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$4.97Jun 13, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$4.97Jun 13, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$4.97Jun 13, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$4.97Jun 13, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$5.30Jun 13, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$27.14Jun 13, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$51.48Jun 13, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$29.02Jun 13, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$54.29Jun 13, 17:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $553.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 15:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 21:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.