Bad-Bronze
0xfc02382ec9d54f85583d1818a08465159e2fdf7e
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-18.76
Realised
$10.62
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -7°C or higher on January 24?
495 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- YES
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 23?
350 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 26-27°F on January 23?
340 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will it Snow in Miami this weekend (January 24 - 26)?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Grok 4.20 be released on January 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 44-45°F on January 22?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Grok 4.20 be released on January 28, 2026?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 40-41°F on January 24?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Grok 4.20 be released on January 31, 2026?
86 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$10.11May 11, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9AM ET$10.42May 11, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9AM ET$10.03May 8, 13:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$5.43May 8, 07:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12AM ET$11.49May 8, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12AM ET$10.09May 8, 04:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$10.41May 8, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$10.14May 8, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$5.32May 8, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$5.00Feb 4, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$3.51Feb 4, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$5.00Feb 4, 12:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$1.09Jan 31, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$5.00Jan 31, 14:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$5.15Jan 31, 14:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$10.00Jan 31, 14:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 3AM ET$10.00Jan 31, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$5.00Jan 31, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?$0.01Jan 30, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grok 4.20 be released on January 31, 2026?$0.17Jan 30, 11:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $2.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 24, 19:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 12:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".