Great-Measurement
0xfc0a829492aa9b759792f7f2103a710f2a9f74ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-28.57
Realised
$-4.18
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Mbappé sign for Real Madrid?$8.20May 31, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$8.20May 31, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$10.57May 24, 08:27 UTC
- TRADESELLCOVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?$2.75May 24, 08:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?$0.80May 24, 08:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Columbia divest from Israel by end of May?$1.30May 24, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win Eurovision 2024?$0.00May 24, 08:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan in 2024?$5.71May 21, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia control Chasiv Yar on May 9?$0.00May 11, 19:50 UTC
- REDEEMTop 5 songs on Billboard all from Taylor Swift?$0.00Apr 30, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$10.00Apr 30, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$8.00Apr 27, 21:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Caleb Williams be taken with the 1st pick in the 2024 NFL Draft?$0.00Apr 27, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYTop 5 songs on Billboard all from Taylor Swift?$2.00Apr 25, 14:22 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael aid package by April 30?$0.00Apr 25, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan in 2024?$5.00Apr 24, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYCOVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?$3.00Apr 24, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?$2.00Apr 24, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia control Chasiv Yar on May 9?$1.00Apr 24, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2024?$5.00Apr 24, 13:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $4.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 04:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 08:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.