Curly-Edition
0xfc0f06d3a8c04868d1a862751400f274cccae8df
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
6462 shares @ 61.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.0K
- YES
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
2676 shares @ 78.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.1K
- YES
Internet Access restored in Iran by March 14, 2026?
2251 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
1964 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-550.00
- YES
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?
433 shares @ 23.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
417 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- NO
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?
375 shares @ 26.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Miami address?
357 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
314 shares @ 62.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-197.27
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$151.32May 13, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$102.66May 13, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$102.60May 13, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$400.00Apr 17, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$150.00Apr 17, 11:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?$245.90Apr 17, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?$291.70Apr 17, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?$200.00Apr 16, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?$200.00Apr 16, 14:49 UTC
- REDEEMHouthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?$0.00Apr 16, 04:29 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?$4.24Apr 16, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?$100.00Apr 13, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$10.00Apr 9, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$150.00Apr 5, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?$700.00Apr 4, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$100.00Mar 23, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYItaly Judicial Reform Referendum passes?$3.0KMar 23, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYItaly Judicial Reform Referendum passes?$1000.00Mar 23, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$3.9KMar 23, 08:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$489.91Mar 18, 00:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $318.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 21:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 20:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.