High-Level-Poll
0xfc0f8201004207522abdb6f4a4c1af4ff706d289
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
126
Open notional
$311.86
Total PnL
$-9.9K
Realised
$-0.06
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 126- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
308 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$306.61
$1.69
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
3 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$2.85
$0.09
- NO
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 98.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.40
$-0.00
- NO
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
1297 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-479.89
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
1234 shares @ 38.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-480.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
1231 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-480.09
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
1230 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-479.70
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
1200 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-480.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
666 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-239.76
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?$2.76May 22, 05:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 6?$2.76May 22, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 6?$2.76May 7, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on April 17?$2.77May 7, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on April 17?$2.76Apr 17, 02:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$61.32Apr 17, 02:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$0.00Apr 17, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on April 8?$2.44Apr 17, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$0.00Apr 17, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on April 8?$2.44Apr 8, 05:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on March 29?$2.44Apr 8, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on March 29?$2.44Mar 29, 01:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$0.00Mar 29, 01:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 16-22?$2.01Mar 29, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$366.30Mar 24, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 16-22?$2.00Mar 22, 05:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$0.00Mar 22, 05:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$0.00Mar 22, 05:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$0.00Mar 22, 05:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$0.00Mar 22, 05:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $82.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 7, 10:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 05:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".