Serious-Runner
0xfc1256ffd62e293a02929961afbd53400de2eb59
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$247.28
Win rate
93%
30 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Walmart say "Dividend" during earnings call?
1550 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-15.50
- NO
Will Walmart say "Automation" during earnings call?
1127 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-11.27
- NO
Will Costco say "Membership" during earnings call?
898 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-5.39
- NO
Will Adobe say "Semrush" during earnings call?
554 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-27.22
- NO
Will Costco say "Kirkland" during earnings call?
503 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-26.55
- NO
Will "AI" be said during the Robinhood stream?
500 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-15.50
- NO
Will Walmart say "OpenAI" during earnings call?
400 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Costco say "Holiday" during earnings call?
388 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-8.55
- NO
Will Oracle say "Multicloud" during earnings call?
361 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-21.68
- NO
Will Costco say "Inflation" during earnings call?
358 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-21.46
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in December?$1.48Jan 1, 17:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Santa Claus" in December?$62.51Jan 1, 17:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Biden" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?$1.23Dec 25, 22:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "November 5th" or "Election" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?$25.88Dec 25, 22:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "DEI" or "Woke" or "Women's sports" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?$39.99Dec 25, 22:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "National Guard" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?$40.00Dec 25, 22:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Beautiful" 7+ times at the Kennedy Center Honors event?$49.86Dec 25, 22:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nike say "Retailer" during earnings call?$4.29Dec 20, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nike say "Stranger Thing" during earnings call?$30.00Dec 20, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nike say "Amazon" during earnings call?$40.00Dec 20, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nike say "Express Lane" during earnings call?$69.41Dec 20, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nike say "Dividend" during earnings call?$70.00Dec 20, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nike say "Nike Factory" during earnings call?$70.00Dec 20, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill FedEx say "Smith" during earnings call?$0.00Dec 19, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill FedEx say "Shutdown / Shut Down" during earnings call?$0.00Dec 19, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill FedEx say "E-commerce / Ecommerce" during earnings call?$0.00Dec 19, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill FedEx say "Smith" during earnings call?$4.00Dec 19, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill FedEx say "Shutdown / Shut Down" during earnings call?$30.00Dec 19, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill FedEx say "E-commerce / Ecommerce" during earnings call?$148.87Dec 19, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brian Armstrong say "Stablecoin" 2+ times at the Coinbase product showcase on December 17?$0.55Dec 18, 09:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $0.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 15, 03:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 1, 17:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 30 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".