High-Level-Leap
0xfc1e2ba9e3b078978138cecd63c3adbf5aaad060
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$59.85
Total PnL
$11.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?
20 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$20.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
20 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$19.61
$9.61
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
8 shares @ 95.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$8.34
$0.34
- NO
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
6 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.41
$1.41
- YES
Cerebras IPO before 2027?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.43
$0.43
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?$10.00Feb 24, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?$20.00Feb 24, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$8.00Feb 24, 05:41 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$0.00Feb 24, 05:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.00Feb 24, 05:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 3?$5.03Feb 24, 05:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 3?$5.06Feb 24, 05:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?$5.12Feb 24, 05:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$5.15Feb 24, 05:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?$10.47Feb 24, 05:41 UTC
- REDEEMKings vs. Suns$10.01Jan 3, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?$9.00Jan 3, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYMamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?$5.00Jan 3, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$5.00Jan 3, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYKings vs. Suns$10.00Jan 3, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?$5.00Jan 3, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYCerebras IPO before 2027?$5.00Jan 3, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$5.00Jan 3, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$5.00Jan 3, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 3?$5.00Jan 3, 04:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
13 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $7.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 3, 04:08 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 24, 05:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.