Hasty-Stinger
0xfc23295cf4b884e1217e409121b764b971225a3d
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-110.36
Realised
$-7.30
Win rate
0%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will RFK Jr. place second in any state?
163 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.30
- NO
Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
77 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.76
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 25?
75 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 26?
65 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.23
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on June 25?
53 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-4.25
- YES
Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
50 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- NO
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be below -4% in May?
50 shares @ 48.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-24.20
- YES
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?
50 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- NO
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
50 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
50 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-8.50
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$1.71Jul 1, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ninjas in Pyjamas make a roster change before July?$0.58Jun 27, 11:06 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$13.53Jun 27, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$12.40Jun 27, 00:15 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.42Jun 27, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$329.86Jun 27, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 23?$2.88Jun 26, 20:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 25?$2.95Jun 26, 20:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on June 26?$4.38Jun 26, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain be the highest-scoring team in Group H during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.01Jun 26, 20:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $19B by June 30?$0.08Jun 26, 20:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?$0.07Jun 26, 20:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NIKE Q4 Greater China revenue be above $1.0B?$0.19Jun 26, 20:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $14B by June 30?$0.21Jun 26, 20:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $6B by June 30?$0.19Jun 26, 20:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on June 30?$0.21Jun 26, 20:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill HEROIC make a roster change before August?$0.31Jun 26, 20:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$0.42Jun 26, 20:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Memphis Depay score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.45Jun 26, 20:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWorld Cup Goals H2H: Mbappe vs. Kane$0.42Jun 26, 20:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
42/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $5.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 19:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.