Definitive-Jail
0xfc2644ea9f24c46450a338eca58f7ec0b559cc42
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-224.65
Realised
$-3.83
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?
4000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 28, 2026?
3091 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-57.67
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $82,000 on January 11?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 27, 2026?
3000 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-27.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?
1900 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-28.50
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?
1600 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-29.19
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
885 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-17.70
- YES
Will Mali win on 2026-01-09?
500 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?
205 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-13.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 28, 2026?$11.31Jan 28, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 28, 2026?$40.00Jan 28, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 27, 2026?$27.00Jan 27, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 28, 2026?$0.12Jan 27, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 28, 2026?$6.25Jan 27, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$17.70Jan 27, 20:55 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$102.38Jan 26, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?$2.61Jan 25, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?$0.01Jan 25, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?$0.05Jan 25, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?$0.11Jan 25, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?$0.21Jan 25, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?$0.16Jan 25, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?$0.09Jan 25, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?$0.06Jan 25, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?$10.00Jan 25, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?$0.01Jan 25, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?$0.01Jan 25, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?$0.20Jan 25, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?$0.12Jan 25, 18:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $15.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 16, 22:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 28, 17:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".