Fair-Breakfast
0xfc34f0bd2797a91c289f65adfaec3c1e4550bd10
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
102
Open notional
$35.17
Total PnL
$-733.08
Realised
$9.96
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 102- YES
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
66 shares @ 9.1¢·now 53.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$35.17
$29.17
- YES
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- GEORGIA TECH YELLOW JACKETS
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
1091 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 1°C on February 3?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
385 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- WIZARDS
Wizards vs. Hawks
357 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- MAVERICKS
Celtics vs. Mavericks
333 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$5.27May 16, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$25.70May 16, 10:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$18.83May 16, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$5.19May 16, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$5.19May 16, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$20.22May 16, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$5.17May 16, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$5.19May 16, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$5.12May 16, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$5.14May 16, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$5.27May 16, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants$5.13May 6, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels$5.12May 6, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$6.16May 6, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$0.00May 6, 03:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$7.45May 6, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$5.15May 6, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$5.12May 6, 03:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$1.16May 6, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$5.35May 6, 02:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $8.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 09:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 10:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".