Substantial-Neon
0xfc3584efe3bbcb188bc0acab7d33e24a4cf0448b
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$21.11
Total PnL
$-3.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
3 shares @ 97.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
2 shares @ 94.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$2.12
$0.12
- NO
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.11
$0.11
- NO
Israel strikes Iran by November 30?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$2.11
$0.11
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,500 and $3,600 on November 1?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Russia recapture territory in Vilne by November 30?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$1.96
$0.96
- NO
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 15?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$1.67
$0.67
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.52
$0.52
- NO
Will Russia capture Siversk by November 30?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$1.41
$0.41
- YES
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.11
$0.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by November 15?$1.00Nov 1, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.00Nov 1, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Siversk by November 30?$1.00Nov 1, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$3.00Nov 1, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,500 and $3,600 on November 1?$2.00Nov 1, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYMonad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$1.00Nov 1, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$1.00Nov 1, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$1.00Nov 1, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?$1.00Nov 1, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia recapture territory in Vilne by November 30?$1.00Nov 1, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by November 30?$2.00Nov 1, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?$1.01Nov 1, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Ivanopillya by October 31?$1.09Nov 1, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Yampil' by October 31?$1.11Nov 1, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Drobysheve by October 31?$1.15Nov 1, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by October 31?$1.16Nov 1, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?$1.20Nov 1, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Ivanopillya by October 31?$1.00Oct 4, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?$1.00Oct 4, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Yampil' by October 31?$1.00Oct 4, 13:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 6, 05:50 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 1, 08:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".