Peaceful-Collapse
0xfc37c373baf6b5de2608fcabc66b959682c77b83
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$28.90
Total PnL
$-0.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?
10 shares @ 98.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.79
$-0.03
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
10 shares @ 97.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.76
$0.06
- NO
Will Russia capture Serhiivka by May 31?
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.78
$-0.02
- NO
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by May 31?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.57
$-0.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Serhiivka by May 31?$4.80May 10, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?$9.70May 6, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Pokrovka by May 31?$4.65May 6, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?$9.82May 6, 17:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?$4.33May 6, 17:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$55.00May 6, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?$4.11Apr 20, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$54.67Apr 19, 12:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?$1.86Apr 7, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?$1.82Mar 30, 17:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$6.96Feb 6, 05:19 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$7.87Feb 6, 05:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$11.86Feb 6, 05:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$15.73Feb 6, 05:19 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$9.02Jan 30, 16:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Henrique Gouveia e Melo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$5.19Jan 24, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$11.74Jan 23, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$5.31Jan 20, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Henrique Gouveia e Melo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$5.17Jan 17, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$7.67Jan 17, 01:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $10.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 8, 09:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 20:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".