Monstrous-Baobab
0xfc3ac87b3916812f385320bd02ece7200de7c601
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$1.57
Total PnL
$-162.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.57
$-8.43
- YES
Will Marco Rubio be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
3252 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
1667 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?
532 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
100 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
88 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
53 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
39 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
34 shares @ 29.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?$4.14Feb 13, 12:29 UTC
- TRADESELLJeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?$10.17Feb 13, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYJeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?$10.00Feb 10, 08:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$15.06Feb 5, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$16.05Jan 31, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$20.00Jan 30, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?$10.00Jan 29, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?$10.00Jan 29, 08:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$50.57Jan 28, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$19.80Jan 28, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$10.00Jan 20, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$10.00Jan 20, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$10.00Jan 20, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$10.00Jan 20, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$10.00Jan 20, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?$10.00Jan 20, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?$10.00Jan 20, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?$20.00Jan 16, 08:48 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$23.82Jan 16, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$20.00Jan 15, 11:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $25.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 4, 06:59 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 13, 12:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".