Improbable-Mailer
0xfc3ef5f7cd12ea8535a509bdb79eedc87e8b3e01
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$115.90
Total PnL
$-20.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
24 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$23.57
$0.45
- NO
Will Solana reach $130 in May?
24 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$23.56
$0.52
- YES
Will Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
23 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$23.42
$0.36
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 11-17?
23 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$23.25
$0.14
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
22 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$22.10
$0.35
- NO
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $330b and $340b on April 30?
23 shares @ 96.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-22.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$23.12May 11, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 11-17?$23.12May 11, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $130 in May?$23.08May 11, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$23.07May 11, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$21.76May 11, 19:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Phantom launch a token by March 31, 2026?$20.64May 11, 19:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,000 in March?$20.95May 11, 19:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$22.68May 11, 19:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$24.07May 11, 19:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?$24.96May 11, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?$24.54Mar 2, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$23.76Mar 2, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$22.09Mar 2, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Phantom launch a token by March 31, 2026?$20.43Mar 2, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,000 in March?$20.32Mar 2, 13:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $70 before 2026?$20.77Mar 2, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jesus Christ return in 2025?$20.78Mar 2, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?$22.20Mar 2, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMUS recession in 2025?$22.21Mar 2, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$22.90Mar 2, 13:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $22.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 20:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 19:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".