Competent-Chemotaxis
0xfc51627cc66abf4600196d8071f69bc26b339aa4
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$574.88
Total PnL
$-15.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
4002 shares @ 41.7¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$420.23
$-1.2K
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
20619 shares @ 26.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$154.64
$-5.3K
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
10096 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
10008 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.1K
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
4410 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-600.00
- YES
Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?
2580 shares @ 19.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?
2112 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 12, 2026?
2000 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?
1709 shares @ 58.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
1460 shares @ 61.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-900.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$79.17Jun 3, 22:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$1.5KMar 9, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$39.5KMar 1, 22:39 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$6.6KMar 1, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$3.2KFeb 28, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$1.3KFeb 28, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$4.0KJan 17, 22:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?$3.66Jan 12, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?$200.00Jan 12, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$900.00Jan 12, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$3.1KJan 12, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$1.8KJan 12, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$2.0KJan 11, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$1.7KJan 10, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?$500.00Jan 9, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?$200.00Jan 9, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?$100.00Jan 9, 22:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 9, 2026?$277.49Jan 9, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 12, 2026?$444.76Jan 9, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 12, 2026?$45.32Jan 9, 21:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $2.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 5, 03:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 22:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.