Loving-Dozen
0xfc51d3ef1c4551f87f3a8cd4443d1d90f36e30d7
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-951.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 2 Ecuador?
1088 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-97.96
- YES
Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 Egypt?
814 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-97.64
- YES
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Japan?
812 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-97.48
- YES
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 South Africa?
798 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-55.83
- YES
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay?
510 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-51.01
- YES
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Senegal?
408 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-49.00
- YES
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Senegal?
377 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-48.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
357 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Exact Score: Sweden 1 - 0 Tunisia?
351 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-49.16
- YES
Exact Score: Iraq 0 - 2 Norway?
330 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-49.43
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $41.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 22:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.