Ignorant-Fallacy
0xfc53cecb6d1c2842f01163b8c569f658a60fa954
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
66
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-14.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 66- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
505 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-252.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
504 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-252.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
503 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-251.50
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
503 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-251.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
502 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-251.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
502 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-251.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
502 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-251.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
502 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-251.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
502 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-251.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
502 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-251.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Ali Khamenei in 2025?$1.10Dec 15, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$1.61Dec 15, 05:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$1.51Dec 10, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$1.60Dec 10, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$1.50Dec 4, 02:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$1.51Dec 4, 02:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 25?$1.51Nov 27, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Palestine win Miss Universe 2025?$1.55Nov 27, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$1.50Nov 27, 03:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Johannes Kaiser win less than 7% of votes in the first round?$1.51Nov 19, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 25?$1.50Nov 19, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palestine win Miss Universe 2025?$1.50Nov 13, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Johannes Kaiser win less than 7% of votes in the first round?$1.50Nov 9, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Ali Khamenei in 2025?$1.10Oct 30, 08:32 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 22, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$0.00Oct 22, 08:08 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 22, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$500.00Oct 22, 07:48 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 22, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$0.00Oct 22, 07:32 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 22, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$501.00Oct 22, 07:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$500.00Oct 22, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 22, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$40.00Oct 22, 07:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $142.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 22, 03:22 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 15, 05:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.