Criminal-Omission
0xfc546c731c434206970097c629abfcbe5df9db0e
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-14.0K
Realised
$-2.5K
Win rate
58%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
6214 shares @ 28.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
6020 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-32.04
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?
3210 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-17.54
- YES
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Norway?
3184 shares @ 83.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.7K
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?
2200 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-90.50
- YES
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?
1500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- TEAM WE
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
1470 shares @ 20.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-300.99
- YES
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals
1000 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- NO
Grok 4.4 released by July 8?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will England win on 2026-07-11?
1000 shares @ 29.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-297.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$0.06Jul 19, 21:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 20?$40.09Jul 18, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 20?$41.77Jul 18, 23:15 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$16.00Jul 18, 23:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?$2.02Jul 18, 23:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 200m and 220m?$2.86Jul 18, 23:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 18?$19.99Jul 18, 15:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-18?$178.80Jul 17, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 18?$3.22Jul 17, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 18?$0.28Jul 17, 00:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 18?$7.00Jul 16, 22:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on July 16?$47.29Jul 16, 21:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on July 16?$60.00Jul 16, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 18?$3.55Jul 16, 21:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C on July 15?$5.00Jul 15, 21:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 28°C on July 15?$20.00Jul 15, 21:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
38/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
58% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $18.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 21:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.