Rough-Inventor-Force
0xfc59f6744fbace8e748610c7609387eaf522e894
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
101
Open notional
$56.96
Total PnL
$-762.56
Realised
$-14.64
Win rate
1%
86 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 101- UP
XRP Up or Down - August 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
15 shares @ 64.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$15.00
$5.35
- UP
Solana Up or Down - August 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
14 shares @ 70.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$14.01
$4.11
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
14 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$14.00
$4.62
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
14 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$13.94
$4.04
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
20 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
20 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-12.60
- UP
Solana Up or Down - July 21, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
18 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-9.94
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
17 shares @ 56.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-9.86
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
17 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-9.76
- UP
Solana Up or Down - July 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
17 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-9.92
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$10.09Aug 20, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$9.16Aug 20, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$10.13Aug 20, 01:57 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$15.00Aug 20, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$8.85Aug 20, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$6.76Aug 20, 01:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$15.24Aug 20, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$4.64Aug 20, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$1.86Aug 20, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$9.70Aug 20, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$10.10Aug 20, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$10.10Aug 20, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$9.89Aug 20, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$3.18Aug 19, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$0.01Aug 19, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$6.01Aug 19, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$0.01Aug 19, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$12.16Aug 19, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$9.40Aug 19, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$9.60Aug 19, 01:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
64/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 86 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
86 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $7.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 9, 03:33 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 02:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 86 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.