Natural-Reindeer
0xfc5dc0364bdd637b555b02eb88874e91572538ce
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-642.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
16970 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-252.84
- YES
Will Vladimir Putin attend presidential inauguration?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump say "America" 15 or more times during his inauguration speech?
2308 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2025$0.00
$-110.00
- YES
Will Xi Jinping attend presidential inauguration?
1111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?
428 shares @ 27.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2025$0.00
$-116.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Biden" during his inauguration speech?
376 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2025$0.00
$-63.16
- YES
Will Volodymyr Zelensky attend presidential inauguration?
357 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Trump issues 100+ Executive Orders orders on Day 1?
170 shares @ 17.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump issues 100+ Executive Orders orders on Day 1?$30.00Jan 20, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "America" 15 or more times during his inauguration speech?$10.00Jan 20, 18:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "mandate" 3+ times during his inauguration speech?$89.99Jan 20, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "America" 15 or more times during his inauguration speech?$50.00Jan 20, 17:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?$36.00Jan 20, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "America" 15 or more times during his inauguration speech?$50.00Jan 20, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "mandate" 3+ times during his inauguration speech?$30.00Jan 20, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" during his inauguration speech?$13.16Jan 20, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?$50.00Jan 17, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" during his inauguration speech?$50.00Jan 17, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?$50.00Jan 16, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?$100.00Jan 16, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Biden say "inflation" during farewell address? $263.16Jan 16, 16:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Biden say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during farewell address? $0.00Jan 16, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?$16.00Jan 15, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden say "inflation" during farewell address? $50.00Jan 15, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during farewell address? $50.00Jan 15, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Obama attend presidential inauguration?$116.00Jan 14, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama attend presidential inauguration?$41.36Jan 13, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$50.00Jan 12, 20:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $50.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 7, 17:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 20, 18:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".