Trivial-Likeness
0xfc656aae20022876638b0ba6cf7eeaad4638448d
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-85.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US strikes Iran by Feb 28 Odds >30% by Friday?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
476 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
313 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Scotland win the 2026 Six Nations championship?
229 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the match end in a draw?
152 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 5?
102 shares @ 19.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?
10 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$10.00Mar 4, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.16Mar 4, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 6?$25.00Mar 2, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the match end in a draw?$5.00Feb 5, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by Feb 28 Odds >30% by Friday?$10.00Feb 4, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 5?$20.00Feb 4, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win the 2026 Six Nations championship?$15.00Feb 4, 12:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $12.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 4, 12:24 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 4, 15:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".