Generous-Reason
0xfc67af9bafc759915dc44517e30e6a2deafdf528
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$-197.56
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Morocco?
3080 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-184.80
- YES
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Morocco?
2857 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?
1667 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?
1609 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-177.00
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Belgium?
1375 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-110.00
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Belgium?
1352 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-94.67
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
769 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
392 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
320 shares @ 56.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-181.14
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
241 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMExact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?$1.4KJul 10, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Belgium?$99.07Jul 10, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Belgium?$115.06Jul 10, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?$177.48Jul 10, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?$184.88Jul 10, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$19.89Jul 10, 09:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$164.18Jul 10, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$412.17Jul 10, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$92.85Jul 10, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$206.86Jul 10, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$73.48Jul 10, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$688.47Jul 10, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$381.98Jul 10, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$512.25Jul 10, 09:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$189.80Jul 10, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$308.93Jul 10, 09:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$26.19Jul 9, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$20.33Jul 9, 22:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$90.00Jul 9, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$55.51Jul 9, 22:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $155.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 21:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 21:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.