Affectionate-Negotiation
0xfc77dc9463db2699302162a2281cc9a4243fa0ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$890.38
Total PnL
$-2.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Marcus Smart: Rebounds O/U 2.5
520 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$520.00
$0.52
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?
370 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$370.38
$8.89
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $114k November 3-9?
520 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.04
- YES
Will Chainlink hit $30 before August?
440 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.08
- YES
Trump out as President by September 30?
340 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
327 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.10
- YES
Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in March 2026?
266 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in March 2026?$2.07Mar 29, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?$361.49Mar 26, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$5.10Mar 26, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYMarcus Smart: Rebounds O/U 2.5$519.48Mar 23, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $114k November 3-9?$1.04Nov 8, 15:06 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?$510.00Nov 4, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?$503.37Oct 30, 09:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?$189.43Oct 29, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jason Day win the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship?$340.05Oct 29, 04:47 UTC
- REDEEMAndrew Cuomo gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?$369.45Oct 29, 04:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keir Starmer win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$370.00Oct 29, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?$189.24Oct 25, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$369.63Oct 9, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by September 30?$1.02Sep 27, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jason Day win the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship?$339.32Aug 6, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chainlink hit $30 before August?$3.08Jul 25, 09:03 UTC
- TRADESELLAndrew Cuomo gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?$6.51Jun 24, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?$123.00Jun 23, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ras Baraka win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?$0.00Jun 23, 01:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrea Antonelli win the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix?$0.00Jun 23, 01:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $572.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 16:16 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 29, 19:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".