Well-Made-Anybody
0xfc7b12c51d1d3d9e04f36352242042b0cbfe2e9f
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-733.68
Realised
$-15.48
Win rate
22%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on May 30?
415 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-24.74
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or below on May 18?
300 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on May 18?
300 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on May 28?
270 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on May 28?
247 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 28?
215 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-17.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 7?
195 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.76
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 7?
141 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.29
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 31?
129 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-34.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 30?
124 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.70
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on June 10?$10.00Jun 10, 22:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C or below on June 10?$9.00Jun 10, 22:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on June 9?$15.00Jun 9, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on June 10?$4.66Jun 8, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 10?$4.04Jun 8, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 9?$1.92Jun 8, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on June 10?$1.22Jun 8, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 9?$1.67Jun 8, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 10?$2.19Jun 8, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 10?$2.19Jun 8, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on June 10?$1.67Jun 8, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 9?$0.99Jun 8, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 10?$1.56Jun 8, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on June 10?$2.03Jun 8, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 10?$1.88Jun 8, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 10?$2.34Jun 8, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 9?$2.50Jun 8, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 9?$1.10Jun 8, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 10?$0.69Jun 8, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C or below on June 10?$1.31Jun 8, 05:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
47/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
22% win rate over 23 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
23 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $2.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 05:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 22:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.