Crafty-Bafflement
0xfc7ec12f6b5c333b26b05e9a803efc1a8dd7e187
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-22.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $52m?
1654 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-6.77
- YES
Will "Weapons" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $29m?
1229 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 11, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Taylor Swift release “The Life of a Showgirl” between September 16-30
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will "Predator: Badlands" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 33m?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 385–399 times August 29–September 5?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will The Smashing Machine be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Predator: Badlands" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 33m?$1.00Nov 8, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the America Business Forum on November 5?$1.00Nov 3, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? $1.00Oct 30, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Smashing Machine be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Oct 30, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $52m?$1.00Sep 6, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $52m?$2.00Sep 6, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $52m?$1.00Sep 5, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift release “The Life of a Showgirl” between September 16-30$1.00Sep 3, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $52m?$2.77Sep 3, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 385–399 times August 29–September 5?$1.00Sep 3, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Weapons" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $29m?$3.00Aug 8, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Weapons" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $29m?$1.00Aug 7, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Weapons" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $29m?$3.00Aug 6, 20:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $124m?$12.45Aug 6, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $124m?$4.00Jul 8, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.00Jul 8, 20:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill "F1" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $55M?$0.00Jul 8, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "F1" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $55M?$1.00Jun 28, 09:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during June Press Conference?$0.00Jun 28, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during June Press Conference?$1.00May 31, 14:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $1.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 15:09 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 8, 11:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".