0xfc7ee90b86f84dd7421f77c09fa324dc7ddbe665
0xfc7ee90b86f84dd7421f77c09fa324dc7ddbe665
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-107.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NETHERLANDS
UEFA Nations League Round of 8: Netherlands vs. Spain
170 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2025$0.00
$-51.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 57-58°F on March 25?
90 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2025$0.00
$-16.20
- LUCKNOW
Delhi Capitals vs Lucknow Super Giants
30 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2025$0.00
$-27.90
- MCCANN
Molly McCann vs. Alexia Thainara
20 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Heritage" during Meloni visit on April 17?
15 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2025$0.00
$-4.35
- YES
Will Trump announce tariffs on France on April 2?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Heritage" during Meloni visit on April 17?$4.35Apr 17, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jimmy Patronis win by more than 35%?$5.00Apr 17, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce tariffs on France on April 2?$1.05Apr 2, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jimmy Patronis win by more than 35%?$4.99Apr 1, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Uruguay beat Bolivia?$5.00Mar 26, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay beat Bolivia?$3.20Mar 25, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYDelhi Capitals vs Lucknow Super Giants$27.90Mar 24, 16:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in NYC be between 49-50°F on March 23?$10.00Mar 24, 14:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in NYC be between 51-52°F on March 23?$15.00Mar 24, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in NYC be between 57-58°F on March 25?$16.20Mar 24, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump issue an executive order on March 22?$20.00Mar 24, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in NYC be between 49-50°F on March 23?$4.70Mar 23, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in NYC be between 51-52°F on March 23?$14.25Mar 23, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUEFA Nations League Round of 8: Netherlands vs. Spain$51.00Mar 23, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on March 22?$70.00Mar 23, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYMolly McCann vs. Alexia Thainara$7.00Mar 22, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump issue an executive order on March 22?$19.56Mar 22, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 22?$65.10Mar 22, 09:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $18.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 09:52 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 17, 08:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.