Negligible-Antique
0xfc8343e5049bcf9be8ed3beb855aae085b75d418
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-554.00
Realised
$-12.84
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 31?
583 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
545 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will the US strike 2 countries in 2026?
538 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 4?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?
347 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.70
- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?
240 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-103.20
- YES
US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?
236 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
200 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?
182 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
159 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-35.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?$40.64Feb 16, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$24.00Feb 16, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$10.40Feb 16, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$4.00Feb 16, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.60Feb 16, 10:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sporting CP win on 2026-02-15?$80.00Feb 16, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sporting CP win on 2026-02-15?$49.60Feb 15, 21:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-15?$199.80Feb 15, 21:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma end in a draw?$98.44Feb 15, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma end in a draw?$34.49Feb 15, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-15?$51.00Feb 15, 19:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Valencia CF win on 2026-02-15?$99.90Feb 15, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-15?$55.00Feb 15, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-15?$2.93Feb 15, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-15?$5.80Feb 15, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-15?$5.80Feb 15, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valencia CF win on 2026-02-15?$36.00Feb 15, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-15?$4.53Feb 15, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-15?$4.14Feb 15, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-15?$11.60Feb 15, 17:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $44.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 8, 00:18 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 16, 14:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".