Rundown-Enjoyment
0xfc93adcba2d8e1a6cf9b67d00e6c1184021b3011
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$249.13
Total PnL
$-56.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of August 10 2026?
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$140.00
$40.00
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of August 10 2026?
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$60.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
29 shares @ 85.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$24.85
$-0.15
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
13 shares @ 51.9¢·now 74.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$9.97
$2.97
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
8 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$7.94
$2.94
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
15 shares @ 55.0¢·now 43.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.36
$-1.64
- YES
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo lead the NBA in scoring?
118 shares @ 29.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2025$0.00
$-34.66
- YES
Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?
36 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
23 shares @ 48.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
14 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- SPLITWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of August 10 2026?$200.00Aug 9, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$25.19Aug 9, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$5.13Aug 9, 10:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.1KAug 9, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.1KAug 9, 10:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.1KAug 9, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.1KAug 9, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$7.10Jun 30, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.0KMay 23, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.1KMay 23, 07:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.0KMay 23, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.1KMay 23, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$7.41May 23, 07:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jan 30, 00:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$394.60Jan 29, 09:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jan 29, 00:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jan 28, 00:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jan 27, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$395.00Jan 26, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$11.00Jan 26, 15:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $444.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 13, 10:40 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 9, 10:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.