Optimistic-Step
0xfc9afa29d119ded2c6ada9d3dac710da62f92d52
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-35.40
Realised
$-13.44
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on May 7?
30 shares @ 37.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on May 8?
11 shares @ 53.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.96
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on May 8?$6.61May 8, 18:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on May 8?$39.83May 8, 18:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on May 8?$14.07May 8, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on May 8?$24.78May 8, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on May 8?$34.80May 8, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on May 8?$70.40May 8, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on May 7?$30.91May 8, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on May 7?$157.34May 8, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on May 7?$151.30May 7, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on May 7?$11.35May 7, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on May 7?$11.35May 7, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$5.35May 6, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$5.57May 6, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$5.05May 6, 12:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on May 4?$0.00May 5, 07:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBillions FDV above $500M one day after launch?$160.91May 5, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBillions FDV above $500M one day after launch?$75.42May 5, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillions FDV above $500M one day after launch?$256.44May 5, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on May 4?$5.18May 4, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on May 4?$8.52May 4, 08:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $43.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 04:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 18:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".