Multicolored-Stole
0xfca9a1c0886e5d1e4134ede1c26ff0026b97ec05
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-27.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces ceasefire by January 16?$5.44Jan 18, 06:53 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?$5.49Jan 18, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces ceasefire by January 16?$21.83Jan 17, 21:35 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?$21.83Jan 17, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?$12.17Jan 16, 17:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nancy Pelosi attend presidential inauguration?$5.08Jan 16, 17:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nancy Pelosi attend presidential inauguration?$7.09Jan 16, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nancy Pelosi attend presidential inauguration?$31.94Jan 16, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nancy Pelosi attend presidential inauguration?$0.18Jan 16, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nancy Pelosi attend presidential inauguration?$0.17Jan 16, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?$13.60Jan 16, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?$5.00Jan 16, 16:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $10.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 16, 16:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 18, 06:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.