Leading-Ligand
0xfcac832f97d94cb06059da77f3bf52961fbade5b
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$6.62
Total PnL
$-67.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
6 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.66
$-0.01
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.2¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.96
$-0.02
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,500 on December 28?
5345 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-5.34
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,400 on December 22?
5316 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-10.63
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 10?
3157 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-7.36
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 20?
2119 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-6.36
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 10?
2106 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.11
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on April 22?
2089 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.18
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 April 13-19?
2084 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-6.25
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 29?
2080 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.16
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.78Jun 3, 00:25 UTC
- REWARD$0.20Jun 3, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$9.63Jun 1, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$9.60May 30, 14:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$10.03May 22, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$10.00May 21, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,300 on May 15?$1.8KMay 16, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,300 on May 15?$1.8KMay 16, 01:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 15?$1.9KMay 15, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 15?$1.9KMay 15, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 on May 14?$1.9KMay 15, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 on May 14?$1.8KMay 14, 23:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 14?$1.8KMay 14, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 14?$1.8KMay 14, 09:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 13?$1.8KMay 14, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 13?$1.8KMay 14, 01:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 13?$1.8KMay 13, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 13?$1.8KMay 13, 11:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 9?$27.28May 9, 23:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Bride be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?$4.28May 8, 04:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $401.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 12:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 00:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".