0xfcafee47af2833dfb8edf8c87bb5a6651358435f
0xfcafee47af2833dfb8edf8c87bb5a6651358435f
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$48.55
Total PnL
$-92.57
Realised
$0.61
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
24 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$24.30
$0.35
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
24 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$24.25
$0.26
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on March 21?
2666 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-18.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 73°F or below on March 22?
2429 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-33.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 41°F or below on March 21?
250 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.84
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 43°F or below on March 20?
222 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on March 21?
150 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.41
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 23?
48 shares @ 23.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-11.26
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 23?
41 shares @ 38.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-15.83
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 60°F or higher on March 21?
17 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.48
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$0.00Mar 24, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$0.00Mar 24, 01:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$0.00Mar 24, 01:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$0.00Mar 24, 00:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$0.00Mar 24, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 23?$1.56Mar 23, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 23?$1.51Mar 23, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 23?$1.41Mar 23, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 23?$1.41Mar 23, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 23?$1.47Mar 23, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 23?$1.47Mar 23, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 23?$1.41Mar 23, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 23?$0.86Mar 23, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 23?$0.82Mar 23, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 23?$0.78Mar 23, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 23?$0.82Mar 23, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 23?$0.79Mar 23, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 23?$0.82Mar 23, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 23?$0.79Mar 23, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 23?$0.75Mar 23, 00:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $0.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 15:22 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 10:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.