Vacant-Term
0xfcb1fe96702160be6e789b629effb016ee240ddf
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$3.43
Total PnL
$-7.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Russia enter Toretske by January 31?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.30
$0.30
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by January 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 95.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Libre win the most seats in the next Bolivia Senate election?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Toretske by January 31?$1.00Jan 17, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Prymorske by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 17, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?$1.00Jan 17, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.06Jan 17, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$1.12Jan 17, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out in 2025?$7.26Jan 17, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$5.00Nov 1, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.00Nov 1, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by October 3?$1.00Nov 1, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by October 3?$1.01Nov 1, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 3?$1.01Nov 1, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?$1.01Nov 1, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Roberto Occhiuto win Calabria Regional Election?$1.03Nov 1, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Afghanistan by October 31?$1.03Nov 1, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMYieldbasis FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1.05Nov 1, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin all time high by December 31?$1.23Nov 1, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$2.01Nov 1, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Occhiuto win Calabria Regional Election?$1.00Oct 2, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by October 3?$1.00Oct 2, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by October 3?$1.00Oct 2, 05:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $1.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 2, 11:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 17, 08:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.