Crooked-Oven-Horror
0xfcb5011fc1a8f89e1ddb0fa03534de6dcca682cf
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$0.02
Total PnL
$-50.81
Realised
$0.16
Win rate
3%
40 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.02
$-0.97
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
22 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
10 shares @ 30.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$1.04Jul 27, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$1.05Jul 27, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$1.05Jul 25, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$1.05Jul 25, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$1.05Jul 25, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$1.05Jul 24, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$1.03Jul 24, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$1.05Jul 24, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$6.41Jul 23, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$1.03Jul 23, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$1.04Jul 23, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$1.04Jul 23, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$1.06Jul 23, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$1.03Jul 23, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$1.02Jul 22, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$1.28Jul 22, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$1.02Jul 22, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$1.02Jul 22, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$1.06Jul 22, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$1.04Jul 21, 02:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
3% win rate over 40 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
40 closed markets, 3% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $1.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 08:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 07:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 40 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.