Made-Up-Screwdriver
0xfcb8018dc75bd3308c3ecc3b204efbcf8e22b1e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$3.42
Total PnL
$-170.96
Realised
$4.65
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
94 shares @ 3.2¢·now 1.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.83
$-1.17
- YES
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
43 shares @ 2.3¢·now 3.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.59
$0.59
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2025?
298 shares @ 19.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-57.75
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?
212 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.60
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model on September 30?
103 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Mistral AI have the second best AI model on September 30?
100 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on September 30?
81 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.57
- NO
OpenAI browser in 2025?
65 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
46 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,700 on September 13?
42 shares @ 47.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 13, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$1.00Jan 4, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$1.00Jan 4, 08:33 UTC
- TRADESELLSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$2.08Jan 4, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 1?$1.00Jan 1, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 1?$1.00Jan 1, 06:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.91Jan 1, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 24?$1.00Dec 22, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on December 23?$2.00Dec 22, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$2.00Dec 22, 18:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?$0.36Dec 22, 18:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?$1.63Dec 22, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?$1.00Dec 19, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?$2.00Dec 19, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.00Dec 19, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?$3.00Dec 19, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$3.00Dec 19, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$3.00Dec 19, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Dec 19, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$3.00Dec 19, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill AI be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?$4.55Dec 19, 18:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $7.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 12, 21:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 4, 08:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".