Bitter-Lava
0xfcb9a2ae1d4e9eebd534153200a8e2281a60882d
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-681.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Fact Check: Is the suspect transgender?
2408 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 7, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Norwegian parliamentary election be between 75 and 78%?
213 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will no leader be out in 2025?
112 shares @ 44.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
OpenAI social app in 2025?
96 shares @ 51.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
John Bolton federally charged by October 31?
62 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
EU sanctions on Iran by September 30?
61 shares @ 82.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
57 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?
57 shares @ 87.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Houthi strike on Israel by September 30?
32 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?
32 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?$54.93Jan 12, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMObama divorce in 2025?$20.37Jan 12, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMSnapchat acquired in 2025?$20.43Jan 12, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill China blockade Taiwan by December 31?$20.62Jan 12, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?$20.73Jan 12, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bolsonaro leave Brazil in 2025?$20.81Jan 12, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla acquire xAI in 2025?$20.83Jan 12, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMNetanyahu out by 2025?$21.28Jan 12, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMNATO article 5 in 2025?$21.86Jan 12, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMIndia unbans TikTok by December 31?$22.99Jan 12, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? $24.69Jan 12, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by October 31?$25.97Jan 12, 19:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk buy OpenAI in 2025?$50.67Jan 12, 19:21 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?$51.39Jan 12, 19:21 UTC
- REDEEMZuckerberg divorce in 2025?$51.43Jan 12, 19:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump be impeached in 2025?$51.98Jan 12, 19:21 UTC
- REDEEMGavin Newsom arrested by December 31?$52.08Jan 12, 19:21 UTC
- REDEEMGhislaine Maxwell accuses Trump of sexual misconduct?$52.25Jan 12, 19:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$52.63Jan 12, 19:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall in 2025?$52.69Jan 12, 19:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $54.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 12, 19:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 12, 19:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".