0xfcbab35671472409af41a127980f18043a762398
0xfcbab35671472409af41a127980f18043a762398
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$124.15
Total PnL
$-467.17
Realised
$10.83
Win rate
63%
120 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?
5 shares @ 41.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$4.80
$2.82
- YES
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
5 shares @ 23.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$4.61
$3.55
- NO
US congress stock trading ban before 2027?
5 shares @ 78.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.55
$0.65
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: Elon Edition
5 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$4.54
$0.64
- YES
No one announced as next James Bond?
5 shares @ 48.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.54
$2.16
- YES
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
4 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.08
$2.36
- NO
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
4 shares @ 86.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$3.77
$0.25
- YES
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?
4 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$3.73
$0.97
- NO
Will Kyle Sweetser be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?
4 shares @ 49.0¢·now 95.2¢·exp May 19, 2026$3.71
$1.80
- NO
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$3.66
$2.66
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill "Sinners" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?$0.01Apr 1, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill "One Battle After Another" win exactly 5 awards at the Oscars?$0.19Apr 1, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.30Apr 1, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?$1.68Apr 1, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill "One Battle After Another" win exactly 6 awards at the Oscars?$1.90Apr 1, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.18Apr 1, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill One Battle After Another win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.30Apr 1, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?$3.17Apr 1, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$3.29Apr 1, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?$4.43Apr 1, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$4.80Apr 1, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill GroenLinks (GL) win the most seats in Amsterdam’s 2026 municipal election?$5.00Apr 1, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Grizzlies (-1.5)$0.17Apr 1, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?$0.38Apr 1, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?$0.89Apr 1, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Los Angeles Lakers make the NBA Playoffs?$0.89Apr 1, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.50 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?$1.49Apr 1, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?$2.11Apr 1, 06:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.23Apr 1, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$2.55Apr 1, 06:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $1.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 23:43 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 06:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 120 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".