Waterlogged-Expectancy
0xfcca95f33142ba2880d661bd0f00b51393fcc460
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
121
Open notional
$16.75
Total PnL
$-15.6K
Realised
$-495.81
Win rate
59%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 121- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 19.0¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$16.75
$-2.25
- NO
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?
1800 shares @ 36.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-659.97
- 3DMAX
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2
1568 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-172.48
- NIGMA GALAXY
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs. Nigma Galaxy
1550 shares @ 38.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-603.50
- NO
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-04?
1546 shares @ 33.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-516.11
- TUNDRA ESPORTS
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs. Tundra Esports
1530 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-428.40
- NO
Will Inter win on 2025-10-18?
1518 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-850.08
- DELLA MADDALENA
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)
1515 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-424.18
- NO
Will Croatia win on 2025-11-17?
1500 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-509.98
- PANTHERS
Panthers vs. Cardinals
1452 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-363.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.44Jun 12, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$50.00Jun 11, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$50.05Jun 11, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$11.20Jun 11, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$19.50Jun 11, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$324.00Jun 11, 11:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$324.00Jun 11, 00:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win on 2026-06-07?$3.68Jun 7, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win on 2026-06-07?$10.99Jun 7, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win on 2026-06-07?$2.00Jun 7, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win on 2026-06-07?$34.23Jun 7, 18:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $101.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 15:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.