New-Contingency
0xfcce8f8ec261ec869b5363f21789bed5a3f2405b
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$24.80
Total PnL
$5.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - August 15, 12AM ET
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$10.00
$5.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - August 22, 2PM ET
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025$10.00
$5.00
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $2100 in July?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$4.80
$0.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - August 31, 7AM ET
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 31, 7AM ET$5.00Aug 31, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 22, 2PM ET$5.00Aug 22, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 15, 12AM ET$5.00Aug 14, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2100 in July?$1.80Jul 29, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2100 in July?$1.60Jul 29, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2100 in July?$1.40Jul 29, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMStars vs. Kraken$0.00Jul 8, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $7,000.00 by March 31?$5.00Jul 8, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200k in May?$5.00Jul 8, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?$5.00Jul 8, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200k in May?$5.00May 27, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYStars vs. Kraken$10.40Mar 31, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $7,000.00 by March 31?$5.00Mar 19, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?$4.99Mar 10, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by February 28, 2025?$0.00Mar 10, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by February 28, 2025?$5.00Mar 10, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by February 28, 2025?$4.97Feb 19, 10:27 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$5.00Feb 2, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?$6.00Feb 2, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?$7.00Feb 2, 11:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $58.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 19, 08:27 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 31, 08:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.