Marvelous-Lift
0xfcd3e3beb5658beb140797d65693d919a48aa797
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-161.99
Realised
$0.82
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- PAKISTAN
Asia Cup: India vs Pakistan
161 shares @ 29.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-47.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?
101 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 26, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times August 22–August 29?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- PAKISTAN
Asia Cup: India vs Pakistan
92 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 28, 2025$0.00
$-18.36
- YES
Will Pakistan win the 2025 Asia Cup?
88 shares @ 25.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-22.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
77 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Slovenia win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?
74 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
55 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?
55 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 19, 2025$0.00
$-24.00
- DU PLESSIS
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev
33 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$1.53Dec 9, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$5.00Dec 9, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$5.00Dec 9, 17:31 UTC
- TRADESELLICC WWC: India vs. Pakistan$0.40Oct 5, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYICC WWC: India vs. Pakistan$20.00Oct 5, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?$117.30Sep 26, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pakistan win the 2025 Asia Cup?$22.00Sep 26, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?$9.00Sep 26, 07:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?$5.45Sep 26, 07:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?$2.76Sep 25, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?$40.00Sep 24, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?$40.00Sep 24, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?$6.00Sep 24, 14:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?$93.08Sep 24, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?$23.15Sep 23, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?$17.00Sep 22, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?$10.00Sep 22, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?$30.00Sep 22, 18:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?$2.59Sep 22, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?$30.00Sep 21, 18:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $14.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 7, 08:12 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 9, 17:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".