0xfcd4af607c55160a5bc0095a1052987e74d47ab4
0xfcd4af607c55160a5bc0095a1052987e74d47ab4
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-588.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?
2062 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-23.73
- YES
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
436 shares @ 32.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-141.39
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
286 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
255 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?
165 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2024$0.00
$-16.76
- YES
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
164 shares @ 30.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will El Salvador win on 2025-10-14?
151 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-28.00
- YES
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
126 shares @ 40.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-51.59
- YES
Will São Paulo FC win on 2025-10-16?
118 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-49.52
- LAKERS
Mavericks vs. Lakers
56 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$5.10Jan 27, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$71.64Jan 17, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$50.15Jan 12, 00:34 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: ex-Inner Circle Esports vs Dziuseppe - Map 1 Winner$2.53Jan 12, 00:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$47.62Jan 12, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYMonad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$51.59Nov 10, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$20.00Nov 3, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$141.39Oct 31, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$3.70Oct 31, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$20.00Oct 27, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBears vs. Ravens$20.00Oct 26, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$20.00Oct 26, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9PM ET$17.38Oct 26, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$10.00Oct 24, 22:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$0.00Oct 24, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$0.93Oct 24, 22:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$35.08Oct 24, 22:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$33.33Oct 24, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$20.00Oct 24, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$20.00Oct 24, 22:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $42.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 6, 14:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 27, 08:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".